Golf · resolved market

Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41107f86cac71bd9e6a6871c222b0627117af59c277ec01043e1e9fc73e152c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccf1…25a0backed No	26c	1,265$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.49	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	70c	710.5$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.82	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes	74c	464.42$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.55	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	56c	276.92$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…1f6ebacked Yes	35c	141.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed No	64c	116.06$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.58	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	71c	88$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.48	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes	45c	87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.15	43	79.1%34 W · 9 L	+8.6wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	67c	72.07$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	25c	70$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes	16c	68.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+10.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+123.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x047e…fe6dbacked Yes	39c	56.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	45c	53.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No	61c	51.54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	72c	42.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.17	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Yes	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes	75c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	71c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event