Golf · resolved market

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1975cce40c1b2b11ba64dc5e047fc1c72023bf58373a3c4a1dd88daf54cc2ba

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccf1…25a0backed No	55c	760.51$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.96	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	36c	244$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.03	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	53c	232$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.59	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed No	53c	225.91$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes	32c	48.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	61cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e6…fea4backed Yes	32c	46.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes	38c	44.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.86	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f2…ef25backed Yes	38c	39.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	36c	39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes	34c	33.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	64c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x780d…3e2dbacked No	71c	28.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed No	66c	28.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	68c	23.24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No	63c	19.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	73c	14$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.78	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event