Golf · resolved market

Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2f6b2ff673efcec2a11785d24a2e14752a99486a5f437d063980e58e66318b

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccf1…25a0backed No	34c	679$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.73	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	67c	641.75$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.62	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	32c	381.01$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.31	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes	68c	300$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.82	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	74c	231$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.06	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	55c	160$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.43	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes	48c	155.7$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.24	101	23.8%24 W · 77 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+44%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked No	34c	154.22$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed No	37c	111.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	38c	110.37$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed No	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked No	33c	73.93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	32c	36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf077…0c9dbacked No	41c	33.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddce…7194backed No	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-40%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes	65c	15.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	70cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event