La Liga · resolved market
Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1bfd2a5ec3ee6db10a7988e104e4591e11d4dd13cf725fe7bd7b9f95af9e958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 2,159$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 1,648$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7725backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 12c | 668.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 12c | 357.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 240.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 13c | 169.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ca28backed Yes | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 129.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 12c | 113.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 92.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?this page
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 0 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 1 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 2 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 0 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 2 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 3 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 0 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 1 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 2 Villarreal CF?Yes won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 3 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 0 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 1 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 2 Villarreal CF?No won
- Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 3 Villarreal CF?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.