Champions League · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271eb10e5d11abdcd9a0462ca0969350c2f08b93a884f69e4567917206d43e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 4,722$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.76 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 42c | 706.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 59c | 614.97$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 56c | 481.76$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 40c | 325.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 56c | 149.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 43c | 104.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 64c | 97.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 40c | 90.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 43c | 69.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Over | 43c | 67.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 54c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.