Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70fc8ff5e82c898f2c6d0055170d2c698e930d89d7e5217233df3bfa92558497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 2,751$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.44 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,661$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,585$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.7 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…8463backed No | 70c | 1,499$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…867abacked No | 70c | 1,486$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Yes | 31c | 947.62$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 944$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 32c | 816$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 33c | 752.12$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 33c | 609.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 350.36$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 221.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 201.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 32c | 104.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…2354backed No | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…0329backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…8530backed No | 70c | 84.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e8…a63dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 30c | 50.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 68c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…558dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…de06backed No | 70c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…b5dabacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.