Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa33cb1c2379fd2b08739a76e4d61ce07a5bb8f834d0b2ee1430106eaadbddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 35,000$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 66c | 34,927$23,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,051.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 78c | 4,031$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.07 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,009$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 5c | 930$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 660.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 66c | 620.88$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 37c | 599.55$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 67c | 321.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 213.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed No | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 36c | 100.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 33c | 94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 88.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 66c | 68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed Yes | 35c | 56.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 55.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…de06backed Yes | 35c | 40.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 58c | 36.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 38c | 31.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e86…5c9ebacked Yes | 62c | 29.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked No | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 65c | 26.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…3c6dbacked No | 68c | 15.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.