Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8686c8529a0306b1dffc544185ff7a1c6d6a6f54907ad352b2747a3f6ef3d65c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 3,941$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.62 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 1,201$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 939.39$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 33c | 334.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 261.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 250.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 15c | 167.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x448c…c0febacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 65c | 63.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked No | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…de06backed No | 66c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.