Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b75e6cc1497049ce32b6aac30650ad4c9e69db0df484394f18d876274fe33ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof California Golden Bears, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 72c | 2,614$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 2,461$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 2,114$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 1,229$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California Golden Bears | 30c | 1,009$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked California Golden Bears | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 877.71$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.34 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 824.84$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears | 26c | 784.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 74c | 764.72$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California Golden Bears | 30c | 633.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 625.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 562.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 540$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed California Golden Bears | 25c | 538.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 479.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Florida State Seminoles | 73c | 458.05$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Florida State Seminoles | 64c | 455$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.93 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 452$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California Golden Bears | 30c | 374.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…1caebacked California Golden Bears | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked California Golden Bears | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida State Seminoles | 69c | 294.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears | 29c | 282.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 255.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 229.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 184.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Golden Bears | 36c | 174$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Florida State Seminoles | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 80c | 150.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed California Golden Bears | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 99.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 99.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida State Seminoles | 65c | 98.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears | 14c | 94.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida State Seminoles | 75c | 94.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida State Seminoles | 75c | 90.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked California Golden Bears | 17c | 85.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 84.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 80.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9d9dbacked California Golden Bears | 25c | 75.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed California Golden Bears | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Florida State Seminoles | 55c | 64.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 56.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Golden Bears | 25c | 44.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 41.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 38.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked California Golden Bears | 40c | 37.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked California Golden Bears | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Florida State Seminoles | 64c | 36.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida State Seminoles | 72c | 36.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 32.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminolesthis page
- California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.