Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f75f152589e821548c50d9e86076f3ab0cd38552e7bf71769dbfd3ac1b35aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 1,640$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 33c | 686.17$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 666.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Valparaiso Beacons | 33c | 595$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Belmont Bruins | 38c | 476$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Valparaiso Beacons | 27c | 317.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Belmont Bruins | 69c | 291.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 232$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 229.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 31c | 222.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 169$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Belmont Bruins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 48c | 86.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belmont Bruins | 55c | 85.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belmont Bruins | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Valparaiso Beacons | 32c | 70.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 69.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Belmont Bruins | 67c | 60.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 71c | 45.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Valparaiso Beacons | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Belmont Bruins | 68c | 43.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Valparaiso Beacons | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 38.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Belmont Bruins | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Belmont Bruins | 73c | 22.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Belmont Bruins | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-4.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.