NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3c6f877c573c41bc2ef4a1d70cc3a3da4dd565999dc465cbf28ebfd5b8e9994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 45c | 2,564$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.95 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,324$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 30c | 225$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe323…f90abacked Over | 76c | 144.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 108.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 67c | 105.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Over | 57c | 81.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 29c | 54.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 54.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 55c | 47.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 34.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked Under | 47c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. CanucksDevils won
- Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.