NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50bb303d81f8c6b27230587fead78ef83ed9d989f9863b0b7adca8d4c19cc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Devils, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Devils | 36c | 1,079$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.3 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…cc50backed Devils | 36c | 1,040$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…fdcabacked Devils | 35c | 980$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…afbbbacked Canucks | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…a042backed Canucks | 64c | 370$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canucks | 66c | 361.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…675cbacked Canucks | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…776abacked Canucks | 64c | 355$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…8011backed Canucks | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…bcbfbacked Canucks | 64c | 315$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d891backed Canucks | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Canucks | 64c | 265.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Devils | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Canucks | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 33c | 217.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Devils | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Canucks | 43c | 137.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 66c | 121.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 34c | 120.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Devils | 58c | 93.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 35c | 76.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Canucks | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Canucks | 33c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Devils | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Devils | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Devils | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 66c | 45.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 49c | 38.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Canucks | 64c | 33.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Canucks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 63c | 26.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Canucks | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Canucks | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Canucks | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Canucks | 67c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 263 | 57.8%152 W · 111 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. CanucksDevils won
- Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.