La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1024671587466aec451e2219d30cae458d17e2adb2cdb7c03b2937fea83c66d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 1c | 1,350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,247$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.01 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 919$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.54 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 666.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 28c | 314.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 294.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 28c | 272.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 34c | 218$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 57c | 193.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 174.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 153.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 21c | 151.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 112.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 29c | 68.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 34c | 39.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.