La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7579ae6b8fe98320252687646143a43abe8b6563adbc89387b719f796bb5fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 4,896$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.02 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,822$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.23 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,147$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 919.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 875$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.43 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 431.41$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 402.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 211.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 54c | 184.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed No | 55c | 182.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 54c | 174.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 54c | 164.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed No | 55c | 161.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 155.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 54c | 154.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 126.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 54c | 122.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 119.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 105.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 50c | 99.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 84.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 37c | 64.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 64.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed No | 53c | 60.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 56.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed No | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 54c | 50.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 55c | 49.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 54c | 44.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 42c | 39.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 30.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 46c | 26.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…b727backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 72c | 25.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…958ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 45c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…952dbacked Yes | 72c | 20.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 18.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.