Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xade0dbee02d9ca4e4c1f1a8d651a4788a2e9578789e959461b3fab14a2ca8750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 8,378$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 38c | 6,666$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.95 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 4,951$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.11 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 3,888$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.92 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 36c | 2,764$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 15c | 1,194$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 772.71$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 61c | 744.11$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.91 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 704.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 599.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked No | 13c | 475.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 392.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 63c | 192.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 62c | 180$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 132.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 118.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 14c | 108.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 15c | 78.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 62c | 56.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 47.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 40c | 42.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 64c | 42.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…d869backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 64c | 32.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 28.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 39c | 28.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 59c | 28.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 25.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 59c | 22.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 62c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 60c | 18.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.