Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdba296df45ebe5d03070564f7587de521e65de128d156b702f3c3cd133e438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 68c | 1,904$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…c0d2backed Yes | 15c | 1,660$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,419$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,045$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 999.99$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 985.15$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 7c | 902.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 861.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 21c | 669.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 6c | 556.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 481.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 467.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 11c | 403.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 362.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 5c | 225.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 116$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 78.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…53f3backed Yes | 28c | 73.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 31c | 64.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 64c | 41.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 32.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 69c | 25.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 70c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.