Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Tiago Pereira vs Michael Geerts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701520b60f57dbd991e0e74a6609935f661d412682f0c10ebd20e0dd98e07b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Geertsof Tiago Pereira, Michael Geerts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tiago Pereira | 17c | 4,503$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tiago Pereira | 45c | 961.12$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Tiago Pereira | 12c | 825$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michael Geerts | 73c | 709.54$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.21 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tiago Pereira | 36c | 462.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Tiago Pereira | 45c | 419.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Michael Geerts | 57c | 399.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Michael Geerts | 58c | 380$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tiago Pereira | 41c | 364.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Tiago Pereira | 17c | 363.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tiago Pereira | 15c | 334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Michael Geerts | 73c | 321.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 254.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Michael Geerts | 58c | 249$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Michael Geerts | 58c | 231$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Michael Geerts | 62c | 209.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Pereira | 12c | 204.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Michael Geerts | 61c | 169.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tiago Pereira | 41c | 166$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Tiago Pereira | 39c | 159.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tiago Pereira | 16c | 150.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2b82backed Tiago Pereira | 12c | 136.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tiago Pereira | 23c | 115.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Tiago Pereira | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Michael Geerts | 69c | 106.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Michael Geerts | 59c | 96.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Michael Geerts | 55c | 93.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Michael Geerts | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…c4dabacked Tiago Pereira | 18c | 81.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Michael Geerts | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Michael Geerts | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Michael Geerts | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Michael Geerts | 74c | 58.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Michael Geerts | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Michael Geerts | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Michael Geerts | 71c | 48.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…c400backed Tiago Pereira | 24c | 42.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Michael Geerts | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tiago Pereira | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Michael Geerts | 57c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Geerts | 60c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Michael Geerts | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Michael Geerts | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…4f70backed Michael Geerts | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Michael Geerts | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e5bdbacked Michael Geerts | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos 2: Tiago Pereira vs Michael Geertsthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pereira vs GeertsGeerts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.