Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0574af8a02123afa7df852b26095e407acbfb1ec609db9d7e7e768e2bee515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Frederico Ferreira Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,806 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47b2…ed13backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 9c | 5,372$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 3,650$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.58 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 3,434$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 2,767$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.75 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 2,141$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.14 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 11c | 2,020$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 1,909$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 1,878$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.3 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 1,842$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 1,250$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 7c | 1,152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…2ac3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1b42backed Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 12c | 866.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 652.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 569.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 441.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 404.14$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 358$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 310.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 20c | 308.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 288.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 259.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 251.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 10c | 243$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 22c | 236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 217$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…2086backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 13c | 194$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 13c | 174.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 153.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 146.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 9c | 144.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 136.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 134.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 172 | 60.5%104 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 11c | 130.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 8c | 125.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 12c | 115.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 19c | 104.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 93.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 89.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 84.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 25c | 79.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…db9ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 17c | 75.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 61.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 18c | 55.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 54.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 45.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…1a1abacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 33.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 32.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…fa04backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Frederico Ferreira Silvathis page
- Ofner vs. Silva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ofner vs. Silva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Sebastian Ofner vs. Frederico Ferreira Silva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs SilvaOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.