Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66585531fe34a9f9aed43e8c8ce4d014a1de8e690db794461d5421bc336fa685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 6,446$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 58c | 999.94$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 838.66$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 57c | 334$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes | 44c | 322.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 310.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 29c | 285.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 209.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 5c | 201.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 180.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 161.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 137.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 111.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 60c | 110.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 41c | 97.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 93.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 82.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 42c | 65.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…45fdbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 21c | 57.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 44.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 58c | 33.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 26.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 58c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.