Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6311432fd2ab856954f48c3656849cc1c0651ee73477604141385347dee0b97a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,581 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 2,097$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.95 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 1,793$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,328$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 32c | 820.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.23 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 792.48$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 72c | 639$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 539.16$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 528.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 452.53$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 38c | 367.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 32c | 331$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 51c | 317.37$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…928ebacked Yes | 72c | 252.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1259…5c05backed No | 61c | 195.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…0814backed Yes | 40c | 179.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 166$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb44…1c0dbacked Yes | 40c | 161.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…5682backed No | 61c | 144.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 143.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 36c | 122.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 9c | 118.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 19c | 110.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…e86abacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 34c | 85.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 39c | 77.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 63.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…6de8backed Yes | 71c | 57.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 40c | 47.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 45c | 43.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 36.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 68c | 35.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…3c18backed Yes | 42c | 25.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…e718backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Moreirense FC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.