Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5325c113475ae96443e95438169dae79dbedae64eee0984317a83c4444b7570c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Adolfo Vallejo, Facundo Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,227 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Facundo Acosta | 40c | 6,400$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.56 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 57c | 3,267$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…bfbbbacked Facundo Acosta | 33c | 3,215$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.69 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Adolfo Vallejo | 67c | 2,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.29 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Adolfo Vallejo | 65c | 1,956$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Facundo Acosta | 32c | 1,389$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Adolfo Vallejo | 58c | 1,382$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.6 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 1,158$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.22 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Facundo Acosta | 31c | 1,004$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Facundo Acosta | 32c | 921.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 739.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adolfo Vallejo | 55c | 724.06$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 64c | 456.18$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Adolfo Vallejo | 71c | 423.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Facundo Acosta | 41c | 406$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Facundo Acosta | 39c | 363.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Adolfo Vallejo | 61c | 362.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Facundo Acosta | 39c | 355.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adolfo Vallejo | 68c | 340.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Facundo Acosta | 42c | 306.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Adolfo Vallejo | 68c | 305.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Facundo Acosta | 37c | 273.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Facundo Acosta | 43c | 262.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Facundo Acosta | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Facundo Acosta | 37c | 214.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Facundo Acosta | 31c | 212.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Adolfo Vallejo | 64c | 203.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Facundo Acosta | 56c | 173.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Facundo Acosta | 38c | 172.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Facundo Acosta | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Facundo Acosta | 42c | 150.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Adolfo Vallejo | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Acosta | 33c | 134.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Facundo Acosta | 41c | 121.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Adolfo Vallejo | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Facundo Acosta | 40c | 91.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 90.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Facundo Acosta | 39c | 66.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Adolfo Vallejo | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Facundo Acosta | 35c | 61.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Facundo Acosta | 38c | 58.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Adolfo Vallejo | 68c | 57.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Facundo Acosta | 35c | 56.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Facundo Acosta | 41c | 55.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Adolfo Vallejo | 62c | 50.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Adolfo Vallejo | 61c | 50.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Adolfo Vallejo | 56c | 45.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Adolfo Vallejo | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Facundo Acosta | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Adolfo Vallejo | 73c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Adolfo Vallejo | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…2aacbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Adolfo Vallejo | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Adolfo Vallejo | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Facundo Acostathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Vallejo vs AcostaVallejo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.