Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb721a9c7e0b7926dbb80f0845b5c9eb2b7a57b3a8255872f077f4f9b3a2fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 47c | 581.94$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 41c | 213.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 49c | 190$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 142.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 69c | 119.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 105.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 48c | 68.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 50.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 37.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 51c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…3ee8backed Yes | 41c | 30.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.