Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412b25e242e735d840aaa28af978d5d054acf69d16f82c77ca47f5d502525235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 18c | 1,088$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 79c | 851.35$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 728.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 674.41$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 438.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 79c | 429.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 7c | 287.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 277.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 130.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…bcc6backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 78c | 80.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 21c | 48.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…78e3backed No | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 79c | 31.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 79c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-06?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.