Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x892f77366237f3abe7ddc79fa65d24714c49d4863c24a57e1722186eec24f3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 8c | 3,231$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 2,200$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 1,597$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.72 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Cougars | 79c | 1,577$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 1,514$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.67 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs | 17c | 1,472$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 1,301$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Houston Cougars | 78c | 1,206$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Houston Cougars | 80c | 1,197$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 1,008$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Houston Cougars | 79c | 907$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 2c | 842.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TCU Horned Frogs | 19c | 761.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 10c | 715$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Houston Cougars | 79c | 664.56$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 659$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 7c | 549.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed TCU Horned Frogs | 18c | 426.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 423.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 421.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 16c | 419$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 376.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed TCU Horned Frogs | 23c | 349$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Cougars | 78c | 223.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 207.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 15c | 139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Houston Cougars | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Houston Cougars | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Houston Cougars | 79c | 126.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 105.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Houston Cougars | 78c | 102.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 12c | 101.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Houston Cougars | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed TCU Horned Frogs | 23c | 97.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 23c | 69.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 68.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed TCU Horned Frogs | 20c | 61.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 60.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 46.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed TCU Horned Frogs | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…a64fbacked Houston Cougars | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 135.5Over won
- Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-5.5)Houston Cougars won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-7.5)Houston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.