Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0fd31d74b6013a6a64e997015cc58e1a1a9557bf73aa68adadc4d6ef11248a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 4,923$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Yes | 65c | 2,718$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,623$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 34c | 1,492$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 54c | 1,294$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 69c | 548.28$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed Yes | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 211.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 50c | 77.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 50.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 57c | 43.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 33c | 41.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 51c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 72c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 66c | 25.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.