F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9405d87f1707cea62574a34fb97d4c0555b207368d210e6e569e52ed4414090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 64c | 7,114$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 38c | 2,026$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.21 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 36c | 1,656$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.07 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 35c | 1,108$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 63c | 754.71$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 64c | 624.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 35c | 539.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 453.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…7a37backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 260.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…dcc7backed No | 4c | 227.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…bbebbacked Yes | 67c | 183.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 60c | 168.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 62c | 150.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…7b85backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…5a71backed Yes | 69c | 145.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 34c | 140.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 35c | 114.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 66c | 112.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 31c | 109.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed No | 15c | 78.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 32c | 76.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…aa26backed No | 36c | 69.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Yes | 65c | 67.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 52.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…0939backed No | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…eabfbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed No | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 41c | 44.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…6718backed No | 39c | 38.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…f6d2backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…9fb3backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…e39bbacked Yes | 68c | 36.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 69c | 34.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 39c | 31.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2be…aae6backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…381ebacked Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…c488backed Yes | 66c | 24.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 64c | 22.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- Will Fernando Alonso win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.