La Liga · resolved market
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823da9888daf2a28ff3867293ed8a2f750f87e9f255b9aaae40dd20de2bf7386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 0c | 18,622$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 4,970$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 3,848$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 35c | 456.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 228.58$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 64c | 156.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…489fbacked Yes | 68c | 147.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 62c | 146.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 26c | 133.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 69c | 106.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 31c | 100.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 100.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 76.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 54.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.