Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda47293e91de7f989d2590064722fadf6f379e2ad001548c704f32d35830aab

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $283,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $195,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,591 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	41,743$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.72	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391f…cf8dbacked Yes	1c	21,588$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.75	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	3c	15,453$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.79	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	2c	13,261$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.19	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…3c98backed Yes	1c	10,313$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	4c	4,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	3,985$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.76	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	1c	3,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	2c	3,000$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…cf75backed Yes	2c	2,804$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.01	149	24.2%36 W · 113 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	77c	2,206$1,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.12	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab78…e3afbacked Yes	7c	2,200$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…3559backed Yes	17c	2,005$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.91	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Yes	10c	1,924$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe971…e480backed Yes	26c	1,906$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb63b…9df2backed Yes	1c	1,541$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a3…d653backed Yes	1c	1,460$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	11c	1,373$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.95	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	9c	1,304$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.96	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,293$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	6c	1,271$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	5c	1,250$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.5	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	17c	1,220$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.15	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed Yes	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	9c	1,004$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaddf…c6bfbacked Yes	7c	999.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6435…eed9backed Yes	20c	987.92$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes	13c	954.13$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.12	112	8%9 W · 103 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-80%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	4c	926$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.96	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…1c5fbacked Yes	26c	836.86$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.51	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea5…0750backed Yes	15c	813.85$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.29	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes	16c	808.56$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.6	212	11.8%25 W · 187 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	799.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	16c	749.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f3…7e7fbacked Yes	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Yes	15c	699.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f9…5d7abacked Yes	15c	635.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.35	96	20.8%20 W · 76 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes	15c	602.89$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.64	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-4.7wins	-0.26per pick	32cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbef7…0b4dbacked Yes	2c	571.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee0…41bfbacked Yes	19c	565.49$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	30cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7d1…a249backed Yes	5c	549.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.12per pick	23cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebed…e737backed Yes	24c	521.17$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.58	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	10c	507.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb392…0b80backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb065…7effbacked Yes	22c	480.56$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.28	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	31cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	11c	450.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	449.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	12c	443.09$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.17	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	24c	441.04$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.73	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	23c	438.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	9c	421.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c0…eb7abacked Yes	16c	420$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	12c	404.02$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.94	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8630…91c9backed Yes	6c	377.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…163bbacked Yes	17c	373.81$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.32	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	13c	372.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.43	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	16c	372.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.7	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	18c	323.22$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa9…c8e8backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	18c	299.97$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.99	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	78c	288.66$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.71	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7be…0567backed Yes	20c	286.53$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	17c	284.22$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc02…1061backed Yes	19c	273.71$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	24cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d26…3286backed Yes	22c	242.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	8c	234.12$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	526	19.8%104 W · 422 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0cd…02ffbacked Yes	6c	218.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	202.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	10c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	259	5.4%14 W · 245 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a63…b216backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3c…b892backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c20…6120backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	211	4.7%10 W · 201 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6faa…787bbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c98…6f55backed Yes	20c	199.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	228	24.1%55 W · 173 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	16c	194.93$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccb…05a2backed Yes	13c	194.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b8…6253backed Yes	18c	190.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	231	16.9%39 W · 192 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	11c	181.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c5…88eabacked Yes	23c	176.32$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…61bdbacked Yes	20c	175$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b9…25dfbacked Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…b296backed Yes	17c	154.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	360	18.9%68 W · 292 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce7…04eebacked Yes	23c	151.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…50e2backed Yes	19c	143.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad2…e985backed Yes	16c	142.49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	148	8.8%13 W · 135 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4638…489fbacked Yes	17c	141.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebb…28b8backed Yes	16c	140$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	67	22.4%15 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e5…ffcebacked Yes	18c	133.33$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5c…1216backed Yes	20c	123.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed No	75c	120$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	63	81%51 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	75cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b27…7bfdbacked Yes	14c	116.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe532…28f2backed Yes	16c	101.88$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	50	22%11 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…fbc5backed Yes	11c	101$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	90	12.2%11 W · 79 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-42%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9557…6f2bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event