Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906d08b4fb785d3f7c63b4196ad338c90181c20e96a24b204d0ebfc19321f443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,420,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,446,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,420,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 53c | 32,622$17,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,289.44 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 0c | 32,150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 52c | 24,197$12,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,582.29 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 0c | 18,528$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…1654backed Yes | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 43c | 9,500$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…9360backed No | 58c | 9,495$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 7,154$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…03e1backed Yes | 44c | 5,342$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…058cbacked No | 56c | 5,066$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…329abacked Yes | 44c | 4,624$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…9a9bbacked Yes | 44c | 4,494$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…a6a3backed No | 56c | 4,417$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…0e6dbacked No | 56c | 4,172$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 44c | 4,082$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…4277backed Yes | 44c | 4,064$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb505…1c57backed Yes | 44c | 3,890$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Yes | 48c | 3,788$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…a203backed No | 56c | 3,769$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…eccfbacked No | 56c | 3,607$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…278cbacked No | 56c | 3,589$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…b81ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,539$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…a9f1backed Yes | 44c | 3,478$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…17dcbacked No | 56c | 3,464$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…9b1ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,449$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…fab9backed No | 56c | 3,408$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…01c9backed No | 56c | 3,381$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe772…da07backed No | 56c | 3,345$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 54c | 3,310$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…49d0backed No | 56c | 3,290$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…d293backed No | 56c | 3,253$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…9168backed Yes | 44c | 3,193$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…be17backed No | 56c | 3,187$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3519…df40backed Yes | 44c | 3,186$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…508fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,183$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…5804backed No | 56c | 3,138$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…9040backed No | 56c | 3,118$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…9c8dbacked No | 56c | 3,093$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b0…5acabacked No | 56c | 3,055$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…d307backed Yes | 44c | 3,038$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…bbedbacked No | 56c | 3,021$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…0b91backed No | 56c | 3,001$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…3f44backed Yes | 44c | 2,997$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…c8ffbacked No | 56c | 2,996$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…4ba6backed No | 56c | 2,985$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…6960backed Yes | 44c | 2,962$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…30bcbacked No | 56c | 2,954$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e2…c1b7backed No | 56c | 2,937$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…da81backed No | 56c | 2,936$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 71c | 2,931$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…0e7dbacked No | 56c | 2,929$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed6…5635backed Yes | 44c | 2,893$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…0276backed Yes | 44c | 2,846$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…526dbacked No | 56c | 2,811$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc62…d54abacked Yes | 44c | 2,801$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…a356backed Yes | 44c | 2,747$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…0fd9backed No | 56c | 2,737$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff45…ee1dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,732$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…f883backed Yes | 44c | 2,723$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…96f5backed No | 56c | 2,698$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…bdc9backed Yes | 44c | 2,691$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…b10bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,666$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…7062backed No | 56c | 2,645$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…4c95backed Yes | 44c | 2,614$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…a0d2backed Yes | 44c | 2,569$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…3b2fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,546$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…d1bdbacked Yes | 44c | 2,533$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…6050backed No | 56c | 2,515$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…87c6backed No | 56c | 2,488$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…c46cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,464$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420d…43cebacked No | 56c | 2,435$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…131dbacked No | 56c | 2,435$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 56c | 2,410$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…f3a5backed No | 56c | 2,396$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…91b5backed No | 56c | 2,384$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…9a8dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,375$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…3bcbbacked No | 56c | 2,366$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5003…7d96backed No | 56c | 2,365$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…6bbfbacked Yes | 44c | 2,347$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d32…03d6backed Yes | 44c | 2,339$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…9b36backed No | 56c | 2,333$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…3b6dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,324$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…fa67backed No | 56c | 2,319$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…3661backed Yes | 44c | 2,319$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…3fa8backed No | 56c | 2,311$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…a234backed Yes | 44c | 2,306$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…2811backed No | 56c | 2,289$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…e483backed No | 56c | 2,276$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…ce85backed No | 56c | 2,268$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…7c8cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,262$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…2656backed No | 56c | 2,261$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…f4f8backed Yes | 44c | 2,234$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…c758backed Yes | 44c | 2,223$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…4cebbacked Yes | 44c | 2,216$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…bc13backed Yes | 44c | 2,206$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…1471backed No | 56c | 2,205$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.