Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3fc632911d3d7310a6567318013fae0e00c4852be50b3fe608a904cc7bd327a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 4,028$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 4,000$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.93 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 2,144$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 1,396$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.22 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 540.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 17c | 464.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 43c | 267.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 232$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 176.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 146.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 119.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 29c | 107.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 103.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 32c | 63.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 30c | 63.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 27c | 62.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 58.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 58c | 41.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 39.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked No | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Yes | 43c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.