Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67f9e56baf88dbf9180f15e90b4ff51716fa588a785934283ac0df4500314c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 33c | 1,073$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 3c | 999.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 818.92$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 772.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 314.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 253.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 202$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 33c | 198.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 68c | 187.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 34c | 182.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 17c | 170.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 69c | 163.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 141.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 126.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 90.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 88.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 72.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 59.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 69c | 58.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 73c | 39.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…af82backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked No | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-05?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.