Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. VCU Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf051398d6fea008c40c0f7673939c3109e69b1e4ad2b3527a919124fc64d9e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Vanderbilt Commodores, VCU Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed VCU Rams | 15c | 27,232$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.37 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed VCU Rams | 14c | 3,521$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VCU Rams | 10c | 1,267$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed VCU Rams | 13c | 768.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed VCU Rams | 5c | 644$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked VCU Rams | 25c | 416.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked VCU Rams | 27c | 405.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 73c | 379$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 8c | 139.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed VCU Rams | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed VCU Rams | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked VCU Rams | 33c | 108.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VCU Rams | 18c | 98.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed VCU Rams | 30c | 46.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…c8c3backed VCU Rams | 28c | 45.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…01ecbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 72c | 45.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed VCU Rams | 26c | 42.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked VCU Rams | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 73c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. VCU Ramsthis page
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. VCU Rams: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.