Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ca4c9ce1af718d91d9a74a98d470158a2c6d6ac16c503a3bfde6f19c172fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 4,601$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.62 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 53c | 3,726$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 1,950$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.23 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 52c | 1,125$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 47c | 774.15$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 5c | 469.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked No | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 49c | 248.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 40c | 66.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…faa5backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…db97backed Yes | 55c | 45.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed No | 32c | 40.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Yes | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb64…873dbacked Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Noah FA win on 2025-10-23?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Noah FA end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.