TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATX Open: Kaja Juvan vs Peyton Stearns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stearnsof Juvan, Stearns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Stearns62c56,909$35,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,416.8448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Juvan37c27,343$10,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,210.4376146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juvan40c19,899$7,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,935.7411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Stearns62c18,863$11,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.641,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juvan9c10,551$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.347,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Juvan7c10,313$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.282,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Juvan41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4604560%27 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juvan35c5,423$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.916,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Juvan6c4,201$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.262,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Juvan38c4,100$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54311045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Juvan38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52018447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Juvan38c3,832$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.211,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Juvan10c3,010$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Juvan32c2,702$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.381349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Stearns61c2,461$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.341,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Juvan9c2,313$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.218439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Stearns60c2,135$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.2475748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Stearns61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.994040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stearns62c1,718$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Juvan33c1,480$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4734745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Juvan7c1,395$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Juvan12c1,283$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Juvan11c1,246$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stearns76c1,105$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.858,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Juvan38c1,105$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.654,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Juvan38c827.86$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.592,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Juvan39c823.82$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.371,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Stearns61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6718957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Juvan40c725.76$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.871,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Stearns60c717.32$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.152556%14 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+86.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Juvan8c637.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.118636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Juvan36c625$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.253,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Juvan40c596$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Juvan7c585.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Stearns63c583.14$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Juvan22c508$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.722,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Stearns62c485.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.522552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Juvan42c457.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juvan19c448.82$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.977,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Juvan13c446.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7414541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Stearns67c425.93$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.654,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Juvan24c419.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.956,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Juvan40c413$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1721338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Juvan38c382.76$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Stearns63c358.73$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7335268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juvan37c343.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.311,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Juvan35c330$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Stearns63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Stearns60c305$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Juvan5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juvan39c299.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.991,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Juvan9c298.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8610348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Juvan38c293.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1135330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Juvan24c287.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Juvan8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Juvan42c239.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Juvan43c233.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Stearns63c217.63$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.343042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Juvan24c209.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.368639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Juvan40c199.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9419338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Stearns63c198.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8924560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Juvan40c198.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.353557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Juvan8c190.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Juvan40c186.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7820043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Juvan40c180.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3879951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stearns63c173$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.781,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juvan23c170.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.662,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Juvan20c169.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8627539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Juvan39c163.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Juvan24c163.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5450731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Stearns62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Stearns63c161$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Stearns63c161$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4613647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Stearns63c158$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Stearns64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Juvan20c150.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0534149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Stearns63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Juvan14c147.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Juvan38c135.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.77,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Juvan40c132$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1499056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Stearns61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.959958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Stearns61c122.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.951,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Juvan39c119.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8953058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Juvan9c112.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Juvan37c100.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.073,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Stearns62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Juvan14c95.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.142646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stearns70c88.82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.463,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Juvan39c80.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.742462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Stearns62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.460055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Juvan38c78.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Stearns61c72.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.139870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Stearns62c60.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0310063%63 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Stearns68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Stearns62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Juvan36c55.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8311758.1%68 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Juvan41c48.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Juvan33c32.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.743,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Stearns62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2694060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Juvan41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.