Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x584e0d3dcfb28e7bb7458f0c0e679243748cf710b77205e159ca1627d03d08bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d35…3d76backed Yes | 0c | 12,471$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 72c | 1,534$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.5 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 75c | 599.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 24c | 551.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 19c | 467.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 29c | 441.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 423.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 410.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…08b0backed No | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…3976backed No | 70c | 382.54$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 18c | 331.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 324.46$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 317.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…d97fbacked Yes | 23c | 302.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 30c | 289.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 74c | 232.24$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 30c | 202.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 76c | 194.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 27c | 183.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 183.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 70c | 159.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed No | 73c | 157.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 24c | 147$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 36c | 144.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 17c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 111.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 25c | 106.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 11c | 100.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 94.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 62c | 89.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 87.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 23c | 78.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 24c | 78.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 25c | 76.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 19c | 73.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 72.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 70.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 30c | 67.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 77c | 64.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 63.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 63.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 29c | 60.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked Yes | 28c | 60.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 21c | 58.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 53.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 24c | 51.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…56e0backed Yes | 21c | 51.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 50.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…3de5backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 25c | 45.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 35c | 45.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 29c | 39.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 70c | 38.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 79c | 30.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 74c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 72c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 72c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 24.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…559ebacked No | 74c | 23.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked No | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 74c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…a8cebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…b2eabacked No | 77c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…ab03backed No | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 70c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 70c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.