Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95b1dcfe0792dfd3d72d1b298882f3246c0a1ccb548cdd676d9965b2e593445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 2,753$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.86 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 57c | 1,689$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.82 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 1,617$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,449$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.05 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 752.38$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 501.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 408.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 404.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 388$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 309.73$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 301.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 55c | 285$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 57c | 283.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 268.54$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.79 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 56c | 249$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.56 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 63c | 195.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 55c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 170.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 59c | 167.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 59c | 165.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 164.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 162.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 56c | 149.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 146.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 43c | 140.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 124.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 43c | 117.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 48c | 117.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 42c | 111.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 111.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 56c | 106.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 36c | 103.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…4ccbbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 99.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 55c | 98.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 61c | 97.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 85.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 32c | 75.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 52c | 73.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 55c | 71.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 48c | 63.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 62.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 60.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 40c | 60.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 53c | 57.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 50c | 55.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 41c | 53.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 62c | 50.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…e8c2backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 57c | 47.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 58c | 45.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Yes | 62c | 43.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 43c | 43.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 44c | 40.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 62c | 34.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 45c | 34.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 42c | 31.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 61c | 31.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed No | 57c | 30.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 48c | 29.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 50c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 55c | 29.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…a351backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 60c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 47c | 27.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…a1a7backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 44c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.