Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f553676282073dd41c3b7d8869c7ef7cee1f29dbf2b6216aea0c075215e6c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 48c | 2,532$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.63 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,927$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.23 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 73c | 997.31$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.59 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 27c | 715.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.34 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 677.06$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 528.41$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 507.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 51c | 475.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 388$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 53c | 371.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 274.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 268.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 53c | 267.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 265.02$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 26c | 227.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 225.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 224.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed No | 64c | 198.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…182cbacked Yes | 78c | 186.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 174.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.89 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 71c | 160$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 154.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 19c | 151.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 24c | 146.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 146.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 127.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 14c | 126.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 72c | 119.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 73c | 115$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 106.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 103$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 58c | 101.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 50c | 101.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 47c | 98.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 14c | 98.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 97.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 34c | 93.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 67c | 92.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 33c | 92.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 90.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 44c | 86.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 26c | 82.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 61c | 81.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 64c | 81.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…d08cbacked Yes | 32c | 78.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 53c | 77.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 59c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 72.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 68.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 63.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 60.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 28c | 59.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 54.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 47c | 53.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 52.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 30c | 50.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…92d5backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 39c | 48.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 46.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 72c | 46.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 45c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 71c | 37.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…814abacked Yes | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 48c | 33.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 38c | 33.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 75c | 31.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 43c | 30.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 30.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 54c | 27.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 45c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.