Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852d0476398024eea66cdc7916211e29ee68c690c649124f894462cc1e4c2f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,036$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.23 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 738.46$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 48c | 561.48$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 377.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 355.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.12 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 52c | 297.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 54c | 284.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 257.04$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 238.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 42c | 216.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 212.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4127…a8cebacked Yes | 63c | 191.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 34c | 178.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 53c | 174.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 34c | 174.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 174.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 151.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 120.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 36c | 112.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 45c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 102.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 52c | 96.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 95.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 94.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 68c | 90.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 32c | 81.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 79.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 28c | 76.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 67c | 73.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 52c | 72.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 42c | 72.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 48c | 72.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 56c | 70.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 20c | 70.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 37c | 70.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 33c | 68.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 74c | 68.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…a351backed Yes | 77c | 65.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 33c | 63.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 49c | 62.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 69c | 59.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 44c | 57.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 53c | 56.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 52.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 26c | 52.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 20c | 51.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…e571backed Yes | 56c | 51.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…195bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 49.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 68c | 47.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 32c | 46.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 54c | 43.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 35c | 42.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 30c | 42.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 71c | 42.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 65c | 38.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 37.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 36.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 37c | 36.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4dedbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 35.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 70c | 35.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 44c | 34.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed No | 55c | 33.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 50c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 53c | 30.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 74c | 30.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.