Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb519b7ffc09d75741278ac1636d9d6e8c105e0b0dd70cb0a8d346aabac510744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 57c | 3,614$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.36 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 643.28$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 43c | 437.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 45c | 362.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 41c | 303.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 45c | 288$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 248.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 40c | 242.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 231.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 226.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 17c | 179.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 9c | 168.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 165$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed Yes | 24c | 164.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 34c | 143$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 69c | 134.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7eebacked Yes | 45c | 120.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 38c | 120.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…7bc1backed Yes | 45c | 118.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 94.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 89.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 34c | 86.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 58c | 77.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 59c | 72.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 40c | 71.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 45c | 67.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 67.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 22c | 65.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 45c | 64.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 63.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 62.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 40c | 62.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 61.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 63c | 58.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 56.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 45c | 52.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 40c | 52.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 58c | 51.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 50.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 63c | 43.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 64c | 38.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 44c | 37.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 36.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…c32abacked Yes | 41c | 36.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 44c | 33.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 68c | 33.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 61c | 33.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 61c | 30.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 30.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 43c | 30.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…70e8backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 37c | 29.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 68c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 73c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 59c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 43c | 24.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 58c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 67c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.