Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe1e722e99d43e929844f4b1f11b6d0ae32d77913f4c18e088cb09634ec95167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 53c | 868.34$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.13 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 39c | 853.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.7 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 555.29$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 393.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 6c | 368.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.12 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…1d2fbacked Yes | 64c | 349.66$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…932cbacked No | 9c | 344.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 32c | 318.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 51c | 272.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 220.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 60c | 214$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 194.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 44c | 188.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 53c | 162.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 46c | 160$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 15c | 151.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 56c | 149.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 45c | 147.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 47c | 135.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…6863backed Yes | 45c | 135.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 133.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 44c | 132.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 123$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 41c | 111.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 102.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 61c | 102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 47c | 99.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 97.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 86.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 45c | 86.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 60c | 82.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 43c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 72.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 69.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 43c | 65.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…ac04backed No | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 55c | 59.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 57.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 47c | 56.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 54c | 55.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 58c | 54.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 25c | 50.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 30c | 49.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 49.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 59c | 49.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 48.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 47c | 47.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…5951backed No | 47c | 44.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 41c | 41.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 41.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 51c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked Yes | 44c | 39.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 51c | 39.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…d76abacked No | 61c | 38.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 59c | 38.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 79c | 38.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…fcb8backed No | 33c | 37.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 44c | 37.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 43c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 40c | 36.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 31c | 36.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 46c | 34.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 62c | 34.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…8146backed Yes | 33c | 33.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…f600backed Yes | 53c | 28.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 44c | 27.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 58c | 27.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 43c | 26.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 24.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 44c | 24.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 47c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…0a90backed Yes | 55c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.