Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93fa8c3398be5ba611dc2bce23f75b90b2d1c1c63ace20ccc52cbe504a63c04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed No | 52c | 2,796$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.85 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 36c | 1,431$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.25 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 42c | 663.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.13 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 47c | 620$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 38c | 457.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 393.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 49c | 341.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…f582backed No | 57c | 289.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 247$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 6c | 206.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 202.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 47c | 199.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 50c | 174.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 51c | 168.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 149.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 148.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 48c | 141$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 46c | 139.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 130.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 57c | 120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 112.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 43c | 111.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 32c | 110.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 48c | 104.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…aac7backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 46c | 98.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…dfe9backed Yes | 37c | 96.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 90.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 48c | 90.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67a3…2b91backed Yes | 78c | 81.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…ac04backed No | 64c | 75.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…f21fbacked Yes | 46c | 73.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…fb33backed Yes | 46c | 67.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 47c | 66.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba22…e546backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 60.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 33c | 57.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 54c | 52.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked No | 47c | 49.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 51c | 45.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 54c | 44.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 32c | 38.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 37.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 53c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 47c | 36.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 75c | 32.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 64c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…6163backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…147ebacked No | 40c | 30.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 48c | 27.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Yes | 59c | 27.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 49c | 26.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 49c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…1995backed No | 55c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 20.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…4a4cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 65c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.