CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ecafd92f50484fdb3a068d69dfd2ff6e236746c0f832c804ee2ae8e1ba10c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, WW Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nemiga | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 49c | 1,177$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WW Team | 40c | 720.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 50c | 623.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Nemiga | 58c | 399.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked WW Team | 42c | 339.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nemiga | 57c | 328.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Nemiga | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Nemiga | 72c | 191.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 24c | 166.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed WW Team | 26c | 149.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Nemiga | 72c | 147.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked WW Team | 43c | 113.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WW Team | 27c | 105.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nemiga | 60c | 103.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed WW Team | 27c | 92.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked Nemiga | 54c | 64.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed WW Team | 35c | 45.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked WW Team | 53c | 40.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked WW Team | 35c | 34.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed WW Team | 42c | 27.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Nemiga | 59c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Nemiga | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Nemiga | 54c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.