Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fa48589aac1c4f0b9798c2422a295a188aa9ad836d5ae7300e0ae5899886e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 57c | 2,817$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.38 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 20c | 1,216$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.21 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.73 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 53c | 746.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 75c | 578.24$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 26c | 550.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 53c | 397.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…bd8ebacked No | 59c | 341.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 77c | 335.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 27c | 326.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 26c | 315.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed Yes | 71c | 275.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 301 | 44.9%135 W · 166 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 54c | 275.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 31c | 246.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 55c | 218.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…f5dcbacked Yes | 53c | 198.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 27c | 197.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 42c | 196.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 66c | 190$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 48c | 181.53$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 181.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 54c | 170.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 32c | 163.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 71c | 150.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 45c | 145.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…ccdebacked Yes | 56c | 136.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 21c | 127.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 53c | 127.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 126.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 23c | 115.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 10c | 115.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 61c | 112.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 34c | 102.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 28c | 99.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 43c | 95.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…0cf6backed Yes | 77c | 95.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 30c | 94.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed Yes | 67c | 94.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 33c | 91.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 20c | 87.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 49c | 86.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acf…d02ebacked Yes | 47c | 82.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed No | 57c | 81.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 59c | 79.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 37c | 78.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 45c | 75.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 52c | 62.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 40c | 58.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 58.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 45c | 57.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 54.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fa1dbacked Yes | 51c | 53.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 52.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…7b39backed Yes | 29c | 52.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 49.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 23c | 49.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 59c | 46.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 49c | 45.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 26c | 45.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 43c | 43.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…d247backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 56c | 39.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 27c | 37.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…913dbacked Yes | 37c | 35.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 61c | 35.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 69c | 35.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…c23ebacked Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…4a9cbacked Yes | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 47c | 31.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 54c | 31.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked No | 54c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1aebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 46c | 27.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 27.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 44c | 26.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 40c | 25.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 57c | 25.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.