Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28cdb199680c9d3ecdfbeca3134e4ff63028dc6bc883eaadef67bc67aed3e8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 65c | 1,198$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.47 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…b88fbacked No | 4c | 1,170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 15c | 556.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 74c | 436.59$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 41c | 310.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 57c | 303.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 8c | 299.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…818bbacked No | 4c | 270.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 48c | 249.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 203.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 47c | 187.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 62c | 185.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 39c | 167.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 151.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 42c | 143.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…4a9cbacked No | 48c | 118.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 39c | 115.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 56c | 114.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…eca0backed Yes | 45c | 113.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 37c | 112.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 112.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 23c | 110.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…ccdebacked Yes | 51c | 110.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 51c | 109.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 109.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked No | 56c | 108.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 106.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 105.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 41c | 101.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 96.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…0be7backed No | 24c | 95.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 90.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 33c | 89.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 47c | 85.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 43c | 84.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 62c | 84.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 50c | 81.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…b59abacked Yes | 48c | 80.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 52c | 80.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 40c | 80.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 58c | 75.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 59c | 73.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 61c | 72.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…0a42backed Yes | 56c | 61.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 51c | 60.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 56.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Yes | 53c | 56.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +279.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 41c | 54.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 36c | 52.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 60c | 52.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 39c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 50.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 33c | 50.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…d247backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9547…1bf5backed Yes | 40c | 49.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 31c | 49.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…c23ebacked Yes | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 40c | 47.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…98e5backed Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 37c | 46.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 60c | 46.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 63c | 46.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 63c | 45.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 53c | 45.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 46c | 44.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 45c | 43.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 47c | 43.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 46c | 41.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 41.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 51c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 36c | 40.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…35d7backed Yes | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 62c | 39.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…8b3cbacked Yes | 36c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…577dbacked Yes | 54c | 38.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 63c | 38.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 36c | 38.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 50c | 37.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed Yes | 37c | 37.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 62c | 35.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…913dbacked Yes | 50c | 34.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 59c | 34.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 52c | 34.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…a7fdbacked Yes | 65c | 33.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 62c | 31.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…585abacked No | 61c | 31.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…fae1backed Yes | 32c | 31.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 63c | 30.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…435ebacked Yes | 40c | 30.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1aebacked Yes | 39c | 29.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked Yes | 49c | 27.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Yes | 42c | 27.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.