Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87579ef43bf0894f7b7c44f726f53f7ce3cf500bac081d4b758ab57f5cff6a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 799.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 4c | 686.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 63c | 449.97$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.98 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 372.45$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 364.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…fa82backed No | 4c | 346$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 342.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 34c | 336.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 29c | 333.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.77 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 263.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed No | 67c | 258.4$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 213$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 196.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 71c | 184.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 180.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 30c | 155.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 152.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 8c | 143.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 131.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 40c | 123.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 114.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 109.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 106.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 103.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 69c | 91.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 71c | 84.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…636abacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 30c | 79.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 33c | 67.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed Yes | 39c | 67.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 64.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 62.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 75c | 59.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 74c | 59.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…6881backed Yes | 50c | 57.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…9a9ebacked No | 26c | 57.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 52.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 69c | 52.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 26c | 50.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 50.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 47.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…d0d0backed No | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 113 | 69.9%79 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 32c | 42.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 66c | 42.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 69c | 42.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 38c | 42.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…8147backed Yes | 74c | 42.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked Yes | 59c | 41.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…2198backed No | 38c | 39.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Yes | 29c | 37.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 34.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked Yes | 35c | 34.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 50c | 27.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…be4bbacked No | 72c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 64c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 61c | 20.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…bb96backed No | 67c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…a523backed No | 69c | 17.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 70c | 15.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 70c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 73c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.