Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd515e3db210ed064c998d9ab6a83e76a8655130c8c2034ec22d610f290470e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,876 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 28,286$17,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,587.99 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 19,995$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,496.81 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 38c | 8,892$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 41c | 7,495$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 41c | 5,327$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 32c | 5,246$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.11 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 58c | 3,961$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.23 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 59c | 3,576$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 59c | 2,550$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 40c | 1,777$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 46c | 1,480$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 41c | 1,456$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.04 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 3c | 1,347$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.46 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 990.26$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.07 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 59c | 948.05$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.35 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 59c | 940$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.6 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 56c | 939.29$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 70c | 700$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 664.05$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…1cccbacked Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 34c | 599.41$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 60c | 548$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.11 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 45c | 524.45$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 463.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 386.53$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 26c | 382.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 366.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 41c | 332.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 59c | 256.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 42c | 252.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 59c | 219$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 66c | 188.03$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 67c | 135.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 68c | 122.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 59c | 117.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Under | 66c | 114.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 35c | 112.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 42c | 97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 66c | 86.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 56c | 83.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 59c | 81.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 55c | 74.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 63.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 60c | 59.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Under | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 48.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 60c | 45.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 52c | 44.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 66c | 43.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.