Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b2dbbdd075af8f387189f0f131930c1beffdaa1371a1861d436026bc58c946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,084 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 47c | 8,375$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.75 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 7,348$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 52c | 1,566$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.91 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 841.25$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 677.78$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.34 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 49c | 268.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 57c | 264.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 198.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 56c | 190.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…112bbacked No | 50c | 185$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…4bd5backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…8829backed Yes | 50c | 179.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…1bf7backed No | 50c | 179$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…5230backed Yes | 50c | 176.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…93b6backed Yes | 50c | 174.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…bedbbacked No | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…5ed5backed No | 50c | 171$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485f…4095backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…8ca7backed Yes | 50c | 169.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…d347backed Yes | 50c | 168.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 167.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…2a04backed Yes | 50c | 164.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…395abacked No | 50c | 161$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e9…582ebacked Yes | 50c | 159.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…bc1cbacked Yes | 50c | 152.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7d…d34cbacked Yes | 50c | 152.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…b188backed No | 50c | 151$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…8bc1backed Yes | 50c | 150.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked No | 51c | 147$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…2412backed No | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…188ebacked Yes | 50c | 146.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…23e5backed Yes | 50c | 146.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…75f9backed Yes | 50c | 145.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e60…f8e6backed No | 50c | 144.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…20ffbacked Yes | 50c | 142.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 142.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…cb20backed No | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87a…5411backed Yes | 50c | 141.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…57c7backed No | 50c | 140.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e1aabacked Yes | 50c | 140.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fab…a6d6backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf76backed Yes | 50c | 139.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3558backed No | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…18b8backed No | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…6e60backed No | 50c | 137$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…baadbacked No | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…d20bbacked No | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0264…ae10backed No | 50c | 134.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 51c | 134.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…6f50backed No | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 51c | 133.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…a662backed Yes | 50c | 131.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…78d3backed Yes | 50c | 130.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…8cb8backed Yes | 50c | 130.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…ee1cbacked No | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…8f1bbacked Yes | 50c | 128.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…5510backed No | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…4d86backed Yes | 50c | 126.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…f024backed Yes | 50c | 125.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…1e19backed No | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…901ebacked No | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…bb7bbacked No | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…5755backed Yes | 50c | 122.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d7…a131backed Yes | 50c | 122.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…ad0bbacked No | 50c | 120.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a0…bca2backed Yes | 50c | 120.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 72.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 50c | 59.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 56c | 50.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 55c | 45.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 53c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.