Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be7b1621f95f7f8f66d4c395f46004666c8e6c6b9d824f7318a0fd8a787331d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HNK Rijekaof RC Strasbourg Alsace, HNK Rijeka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,468 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HNK Rijeka | 61c | 426.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 39c | 419$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed HNK Rijeka | 59c | 393.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked HNK Rijeka | 55c | 250.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 48c | 198$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed HNK Rijeka | 55c | 178.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 155.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed HNK Rijeka | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 46c | 131.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 129.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 120.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HNK Rijeka | 54c | 110.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 93.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 73.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 47c | 63.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed RC Strasbourg Alsace | 45c | 36.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked HNK Rijeka | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)this page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.