Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x546a39aa4fd66a37224d98acd97f000e35300d67482480209aa27fb91ac1ec05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,445 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 536.73$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 390.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed No | 3c | 377$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 285.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 47c | 214.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 48c | 199.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…54bdbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 172.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 101.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 21c | 95.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked No | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed No | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 51.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 49.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 60c | 40.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 29.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…c01abacked Yes | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 20.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)HNK Rijeka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.