Fifa International · resolved market
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb958a033a1a0adeff28c5318bae1164900d229941048d3d3c9068bafb3ea8c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,225$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.66 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 46c | 1,120$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.25 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 37c | 881.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.89 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 30c | 831.05$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 36c | 828.8$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 37c | 774$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…8392backed Yes | 68c | 721.51$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 34c | 559.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 75c | 517.98$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Yes | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 52c | 367.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 34c | 367$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 39c | 237.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 179$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 63c | 159.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes | 33c | 155.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 38c | 144$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…57aabacked No | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 62c | 137.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…975fbacked No | 37c | 133.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 26c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 41c | 124.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 111.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 103.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 60c | 97.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 54c | 92.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 74.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…0304backed Yes | 68c | 73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 40c | 63.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 54.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 49c | 50.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…4d76backed No | 30c | 50.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…ae26backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…bb74backed Yes | 63c | 47.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…644abacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed Yes | 59c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 59c | 36.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…e99cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 59c | 31.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 40c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…e978backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 23.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 59c | 23.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…32c5backed No | 58c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 70c | 21.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…8189backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Harry Kane score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Harry Kane score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Harry Kane score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Harry Kane score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Harry Kane score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.